Kālā a me nā Bonds, Ka Hōʻike Makahiki Makahiki

Keʻike nei i ka hōʻaiaʻana o kēlā me kēia makahiki no nā loiloi nui hiki ke lilo i meaʻoihana paʻakikī, no laila, pono i nā mea kālā keʻike i kēia papa e hoʻohanaʻia ana. Ma kaʻaoʻao hema e hōʻike i ka hoʻihoʻiʻana o ka Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index (kahi iʻikeʻiaʻo Lehman US Aggregate Bond Index ma mua o ka hāʻuleʻana o Lehman Brothers '). Hōʻike ka papa kuhikuhi i ka hoʻokōʻana o nāʻokoʻa palekana i ka United States. Wahi a Babson Capital, i ka lāʻo Fepeluali 2011,ʻo ka "Index" heʻelima 8,200 mau hua kālā i loaʻa a ua waiwaiʻia ma kahi o $ 15 trillion, e like me 43% o ka hōʻai'ē paʻa oʻAmelika.

ʻO ka papa helu i kēia manawa e pili ana i nā Waihona o ka US , nā hihia pili aupuni, nāʻaelike pūnaewele , nā kiʻina pūnaewele i kākoʻoʻia, nā hōʻai'ē ukana a nā mea kūʻai , a me nā ukana ukana kālepa . " ka kūʻai'āina kūʻai US.

Eʻike hou e pili ana i ka hoʻopaʻaʻana o nā koʻokoʻo a me nā pale i kahi wā lōʻihi.

Hōʻike ka papa ma lalo nei i ka hoʻihoʻiʻiaʻana o nā helu hōʻailonaʻelua i kēlā me kēia makahiki ma nā 34 mau makahiki kahiki ma waena o 1980-2013, a ma muli o kekahi mau'ikepilihelu i kēlā me kēia.

Makahiki ʻO Barclays Agg. S & P 500 Ka hoʻololi
1980 2.71% 32.50% -29.79%
1981 6.26% -4.92% + 11.18%
1982 32.65% 21.55% + 11.10%
1983 8.19% 22.56% -14.37%
1984 15.15% 6.27% + 8.88%
1985 22.13% 31.73% -960%
1986 15.30% 18.67% -3.37%
1987 2.75% 5.25% -50%
1988 7.89% 16.61% -8.72%
1989 14.53% 31.69% -17.16%
1990 8.96% -3.11% + 12.07%
1991 16.00% 30.47% -14.47%
1992 7.40% 7.62% -0.22%
1993 9.75% 10.08% -0.33%
1994 -2.92% 1.32% -4.34%
1995 18.46% 37.58% -19.12%
1996 3.64% 22.96% -19.32%
1997 9.64% 33.36% -23.72%
1998 8.70% 28.58% -19.88%
1999 -0.82% 21.04% -21.86%
2000 11.63% -9.11% + 20.74%
2001 8.43% -11.89% + 20.32%
2002 10.26% -22.10% + 32.36%
2003 4.10% 28.68% -24.58%
2004 4.34% 10.88% -6.54%
2005 2.43% 4.91% -2.48%
2006 4.33% 15.79% -11.46%
2007 6.97% 5.49% + 1.48%
2008 5.24% -37.00% + 42.24%
2009 5.93% 26.46% -20.53%
2010 6.54% 15.06% -8.52%
2011 7.84% 2.11% + 5.73%
2012 4.22% 16.00% -11.78%
2013 -2.02% 32.39% -34.31%

ʻO Barclays Hui Heluhelu

Nā Makahiki Makahiki: 31 o 34

Ka Return Kiekie loa: 32.65%, 1982

Ka hoʻihoʻi hope loa: -2.92%, 1994

Ka Helu Makahiki Kuleana (1980-2013): 8.42%

( E nānā i kēia:ʻo ka'ōwīwī ka waiwai wale nō,ʻaʻole kaʻawelike o ka hōʻailona o nā makahiki ).

Kālepa S & P 500

Nā Makahiki Makahiki: 28 o 34

Ka Return Kiekie loa: 37.58%, 1995

Ka hoʻihoʻi hope loa: -37.00%, 2008

Ka loaʻa o nā makahiki āpau: 13.92%

NāʻIke Heluhelu Kūlike:

Hoʻoponoponoʻia nā makahiki makahiki: 10 o 34

Nā Bonds 'Ka Nui Mahele o Outperformance: 42.24%, 2008

Nā Bonds 'Ka Nui Mahele Loa o Underperformance: -34.31%, 2013

Pehea e loaʻa ai he 50-50'Aheleʻana ma waena o nā Papawaiʻelua?

Nā Makahiki Makahiki: 30 o 34

Ka Return Hōʻaikaʻi: 28.02%, 1995

Hoʻihoʻi haʻahaʻa: -15.88%, 2008 (ʻO nā mea'ē aʻe he 2002 (-5.92%), 2001 (-1.73), a me 1994 (-0.80%)

Ka loaʻa o nā makahiki āpau: 11.17%

Hōʻike kēia i ka hāʻawiʻana o nā mea kālā i ka 20% o ka hoʻihoʻi kālā me ka 50-50 puʻupuʻu, akā,ʻo ka pōpili i hui pūʻia kekahi mea i emi loa ka pilikia.

Hōʻike i nāʻikepili, 1928-2013

Ke hoʻonuiʻia keʻano o ka hoʻonuiʻana, hoʻonui ka hapa hana. Ua hoʻonuiʻo Federal Bank Bank of St. Louis i nā kumukūʻai o nā lāʻau, nā bila o ka Waihona Waihona, a me nā kālepa o ka Waihona 10 mau makahiki mai ka makahiki 1928. E hoʻomanaʻo i kēia mau waiwai ma mua o ka mea i hōʻikeʻia ma luna mai ka wā iʻole e hoʻihoʻiʻia ka S & P 500 a hōʻailona pahaʻo Barclays . ʻEkolu mau kīʻahi keyaways: