Ka helu Misery ma ka makahiki a me ka Pelekikena

No ke aha i kapaʻoleʻia ai ka Index Misery i ka Pau Loa o ka Ola Malama

ʻO ka helu pōʻino ka hōʻuluʻuluʻana o ka lakē nele a me ka hoʻonui . ʻO ka lōʻihi o ka poʻe hanaʻole e hoʻopilikia i ka pilikia o ka poʻe i waihoʻia a loaʻaʻole ka loaʻa o nā hana. Hana ka hana nuiʻole i nā kānaka mai ka hanaʻana i kahi uku ola . Hoʻohanaʻia ka lōʻihi o ka hanaʻole o ka hanaʻole e hoʻopau ai i nā loli i loaʻa no ka manawa o ka makahiki.

ʻO ka hoʻonuiʻana ka uku piʻi o nā waiwai a me nā lawelawe i ka manawa.

Hoʻololi ka hoʻonui i kou ola ma ka hoʻohaʻahaʻaʻana i kou mana kūʻai. ʻO keʻano o ka pōpilikia ka mea e hoʻonui ai i ka kumu kūʻai o ke ola . I ka wā ma mua, hoʻemiʻia kouʻano nohona . ʻO ia ke kumu i'ōlelo aiʻo Pelekikena Reagan , "ʻO ka hoʻolālā e like me keʻano o ka pahi, he mea weliweli e like me ke kanaka pōā pōā, a he kanaka make."

E like me nā hanana o ka pōʻaiapili pāʻoihana, hōʻailona ka nele i ka hoʻokemu . Hōʻikeʻia ka hōʻailona hōʻailona e hoʻonuiʻia ka hōhā. Pono e hōʻike i ka helu pōʻino i ka wā e hololeki ana ka hoʻolālā aʻoiʻole paha.

ʻO ka Misery Index i loko o kahi Ola Ola

Hiki i ka hoʻokele waiwai waiwai ka hopena i waena o 6-7 pakeneka. ʻO ka lōʻihi maikaʻi o ka uluʻana he 2-3 pakeneka. No ka hoʻokōʻana i kēlā mea, pono nā kānaka hana eʻimi i nā hana maikaʻi. Pono lākou eʻike i ka heluna kūlohelohe o ka nele i ka 4-5 pakeneka. Ke emi ka lihi i kēlā,ʻaʻole hiki i nā hui keʻike i ka nui o nā mea hana maikaʻi e hoʻonui i ka hana.

ʻO ka hopena, e lohi ka ulu.

Pono nō hoʻi kaʻike waiwai waiwai i ka hoʻonui. Kūkulu ka Federal Reserve i kahi o ka hoʻonuiʻana i ka hoʻonuiʻia o ka 2 pene o ka makahiki āpau. Hoʻomaopopo ka Fed i ka nui o ka hoʻonuiʻana i ka ikaika a me nā kumukūʻaiʻai . ʻO ka nui o nā kumukūʻai he loli , mahalo i ka kūʻaiʻana i mea kūʻai kālā i nā lā a pau.

ʻO ka helu hōʻeha ma waena o 6-7 pakeneka e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻokele waiwai Goldlocks, me ka nui o ka hoʻonui a me ka nele i ka hana.

Ka Moʻolelo Misery ma ka Makahiki

Ua hoʻokumuʻo Arthur Okun i ka pōʻino ma nā makahiki 1970. Ua makemakeʻo ia e wehewehe i ka hopena o ka nui o ka hanaʻole a me ka hoʻonuiʻiaʻana i kēlā manawa. Ua hana pūʻo'Okun i ke kānāwai o'Okun. Ke'ōlelo neiʻo ia no kēlā me kēia helu pākēka e hāʻule ana ka nele i ka hana, loaʻa i ka 3 pakeneka ka nui o nā'ōnaehana kūwaho maoli. Ua weheweheʻia ka hoʻokele waiwai i waena o ka Honua II a me 1960.

Uaʻoi aku ka nui o ka helu hōʻeha i 20 pakeneka i ka wā o ka Pahūlana Nui ma muli o ke kiʻekiʻe o ka lōʻihi o ka hanaʻole. I ka makahiki 1944, uaʻoi aku ka nui o ka helu hōʻino i 20 pakeneka ma muli o ke kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻonui. Ua aneane hiki i ka 20 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1979 a me 1980 no ka hopena.

Mai ka makahiki 1981,ʻaʻole iʻoi aku ka 15 ma mua o ka helu. ʻO ia no ka mea ua maikaʻi ka Fed i ka mālamaʻana i ka hoʻolālāʻana . Hoʻolālā nā poʻe koho i ka hoʻonui i ka kulekele kālā e hoʻomau i ka hanaʻole ma lalo o ka mana. ʻO ka mea pōʻino, ua hana lākou i nā pōpē kālā nui e hana pēlā. ʻO ka hapa nui loa o ka pelekikena mai ka makahiki 1980.

Makahiki Paʻiʻo Misery Loaʻaʻole ka hana Ka hoʻonui
1929 3.8% 3.2% 0.6%
1930 2.3% 8.7% -6.4%
1931 6.6% 15.9% -9.3%
1932 13.3% 23.6% -10.3%
1933 25.7% 24.9% 0.8%
1934 23.2% 21.7% 1.5%
1935 23.1% 20.1% 3.0%
1936 18.3% 16.9% 1.4%
1937 17.2% 14.3% 2.9%
1938 16.2% 19.0% -2.8%
1939 17.2% 17.2% 0.0%
1940 15.3% 14.6% 0.7%
1941 19.8% 9.9% 9.9%
1942 13.7% 4.7% 9.0%
1943 4.9% 1.9% 3.0%
1944 3.5% 1.2% 2.3%
1945 4.1% 1.9% 2.2%
1946 22.0% 3.9% 18.1%
1947 12.7% 3.9% 8.8%
1948 7.0% 4.0% 3.0%
1949 4.5% 6.6% -2.1%
1950 10.2% 4.3% 5.9%
1951 9.1% 3.1% 6.0%
1952 3.5% 2.7% 0.8%
1953 5.2% 4.5% 0.7%
1954 4.3% 5.0% -0.7%
1955 4.6% 4.2% 0.4%
1956 7.2% 4.2% 3.0%
1957 8.1% 5.2% 2.9%
1958 8.0% 6.2% 1.8%
1959 7.0% 5.3% 1.7%
1960 8.0% 6.6% 1.4%
1961 6.7% 6.0% 0.7%
1962 6.8% 5.5% 1.3%
1963 7.1% 5.5% 1.6%
1964 6.0% 5.0% 1.0%
1965 5.9% 4.0% 1.9%
1966 7.3% 3.8% 3.5%
1967 6.8% 3.8% 3.0%
1968 8.1% 3.4% 4.7%
1969 9.7% 3.5% 6.2%
1970 11.7% 6.1% 5.6%
1971 9.3% 6.0% 3.3%
1972 8.6% 5.2% 3.4%
1973 13.6% 4.9% 8.7%
1974 19.5% 7.2% 12.3%
1975 15.1% 8.2% 6.9%
1976 12.7% 7.8% 4.9%
1977 13.1% 6.4% 6.7%
1978 15.0% 6.0% 9.0%
1979 19.3% 6.0% 13.3%
1980 19.7% 7.2% 12.5%
1981 17.4% 8.5% 8.9%
1982 14.6% 10.8% 3.8%
1983 12.1% 8.3% 3.8%
1984 11.2% 7.3% 3.9%
1985 10.8% 7.0% 3.8%
1986 7.7% 6.6% 1.1%
1987 10.1% 5.7% 4.4%
1988 9.7% 5.3% 4.4%
1989 10.0% 5.4% 4.6%
1990 12.4% 6.3% 6.1%
1991 10.4% 7.3% 3.1%
1992 10.3% 7.4% 2.9%
1993 9.2% 6.5% 2.7%
1994 8.2% 5.5% 2.7%
1995 8.1% 5.6% 2.5%
1996 8.7% 5.4% 3.3%
1997 6.4% 4.7% 1.7%
1998 6.0% 4.4% 1.6%
1999 6.7% 4.0% 2.7%
2000 7.3% 3.9% 3.4%
2001 7.3% 5.7% 1.6%
2002 8.4% 6.0% 2.4%
2003 7.6% 5.7% 1.9%
2004 8.7% 5.4% 3.3%
2005 8.3% 4.9% 3.4%
2006 6.9% 4.4% 2.5%
2007 9.1% 5.0% 4.1%
2008 7.4% 7.3% 0.1%
2009 12.6% 9.9% 2.7%
2010 10.8% 9.3% 1.5%
2011 11.5% 8.5% 3.0%
2012 9.6% 7.9% 1.7%
2013 8.2% 6.7% 1.5%
2014 6.4% 5.6% 0.8%
2015 5.7% 5.0% 0.7%
2016 6.8% 4.7% 2.1%
2017 6.2% 4.1% 2.1%

Hoʻomaopopo:ʻO nā helu helu a pau e like ia me Dekemaba i kēlā makahiki. ʻO ka hapa nui o ka hōʻaia ka makahiki makahiki o nā kumukūʻai Kūʻai no Kekemapa. ʻO kaʻikepili mai ka Hōkū'IpiliʻOihana a me ka Uku Makahikiʻole ma ka makahiki .

ʻO ka helu Misery na ka Pelekikena

Ua hana maikaʻi loaʻo Pelekikena Hoover e like me ka helu hōʻino. Ua loaʻa iā Pelekikena Roosevelt ka hana maikaʻi. Ua hakakā pū lāua me ka pilikia nui. Uaʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o nā pelekikena hoʻomalu i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻaʻana i ka nele i ka hana, aʻo ka hoʻoponopono nuiʻana o nā pelekikena Republican i ka hoʻonuiʻia.

Herbert Hoover (1929-1933) Ua piʻi ka helu hōʻino mai ka 3.8 pakeneka i ka 13.35 no ka pōʻino o ka makahiki 1929, ka hoʻokōʻana i nā tarina Smoot-Hawley , a me ka lepo Dust Bowl . ʻAʻole kōkuaʻo Hoover i nā mea ma ka hoʻouluʻana i nāʻauhau.

Franklin D. Roosevelt (1933-1945) Ua pau ka heluna pōʻino i 25.7 pakeneka i 3.5 pakeneka.

ʻO ka New Deal FDR , ka hopena o ka Dust Bowl, a me ka hoʻomakaʻana o ke Kaua Honua II i hoʻopau i ka pilikia. I ka makahiki 1944, ua kaulimaʻia kaʻaelike Bretton Woods . Ua paniʻo ia i ke kūlana gula me ke kālāʻAmelika. ka hopena i ka hoʻonui

ʻO Harry Truman (1945-1953). Ua hoʻomaka ka pōʻino pōʻino ma ka 4.1 pakeneka, ua piʻi i ka 22 pakeneka ma hope o ka hopena o ke Kaua Honua II i laweʻia i kahi hopena. Hoʻokūʻo Truman i lalo i ka 4.5 pakeneka me ka hana hana a me ka Fair Deal. Ma ka hoʻounaʻana i kōkua iʻEulopa, hoʻonohonoho ka Māhele Marshall i ka noi no nā waiwai oʻAmelika. I ka makahiki 1950, ua hoʻokumu ka Korean War i ka hoʻonuiʻana, e hoʻonui ana i ka helu kaumaha i 10.2 pakeneka. Ma ka hopena o ka hopena o Truman, ua hāʻule ka puʻuwai poino i 3.5 pakeneka.

ʻO Dwight Eisenhower (1953-1962). ʻO ka hoʻihoʻiʻana ma hope o ka pauʻana o ke Kaua Kionia i hoʻouna aku i ka helu hōʻeha i ka 5.2 pakeneka i ka makahiki mua o Eisenhower. Ua piʻiʻia i 8.1 pakeneka i ka wā i lanakila ai kekahi hou. Ua kōkuaʻo ia i ke kiʻekiʻe o ka pōʻino i ko John F. Kennedy lanakila ma luna o ka pelekikena hope o ka pana o Richard Nixon.

ʻO John F. Kennedy (1961-1963). Ua hoʻopauʻo Kennedy i ka hoʻolālā, akā, ua kiʻekiʻe ka hanaʻole ma ka manawa i pepehiʻia aiʻo ia i ka makahiki 1963. Ua hoʻomauʻia ka helu hōʻino i ka 8.0 pakeneka.

ʻO Lyndon B. Johnson (1963-1969). Ua hoʻemiʻo Johnson i ka helu helu i ka 5.9 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1965 me ka hoʻolimalimaʻana ma ka Great Society a me ka Pakulau Vietnam. Akā piʻiʻia i 8.1 pakeneka ma ka hopena o kona makahiki hope loa i ke keʻena.

ʻO Richard Nixon (1969-1974). Ua piʻi ka hōʻailona i ka 11.7 pakeneka ma ka hopena o 1970. Na Nixon i hoʻokumu i ka Ture Hana Hana Hoʻolālā a me nā ka uku uku uku no ka ho'ēmiʻana i ka nele a me ka hoʻonui. Akā, ua hana ka hoʻonāukiuki ma ka hoʻouluʻana i ka ulu. ʻO ka hoʻolālā pākēlī e like me ka Federal Reserve i hoʻokiʻekiʻe aʻe i nā kaʻina ukupanee no ka mālamaʻana i ka hoʻonuiʻana, a laila ua hoʻohaʻahaʻaʻia ia mau mea no ka uluʻana i ka ulu. ʻO kēlā mauʻoihana paʻakikī, ka mea i mālama i ka uku. I ka makahiki 1973, ua piʻi ka heluna pōʻino i 13.6 pakeneka. Ua hoʻopauʻo Nixon i ke kūlana gula , a uaʻoi aku kaʻino iʻoi aku ka nui o ka waiwai o ka tālā. Ua hoʻopauʻo ia i ke kauaʻo Vietnam, akā haʻaleleʻia no kaʻikeʻo Watergate.

ʻO Gerald Ford (1974-1977). Ua piʻi ka hua'ōlelo i ka 19.5 pakeneka i ka makahiki mua o Ford ma muli o ka hoʻonuiʻiaʻana o ka pale. Ua hāʻule ka helu helu i ka 12.7 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1976 i ka pauʻana o ke kāʻei.

ʻO Jimmy Carter (1977-1981). Ua piʻi ka helu helu i ka 19.7 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1980. Na ka Fed i hoʻonui i ka uku kumukūʻai e hoʻopau i ka hoʻonuiʻana i ka manawa a me nā mea a pau. Ua hana ia i kahi hāʻina.

ʻO Ronald Reagan (1981-1988). I ka makahiki 1982, ua hoʻokomoʻo Reagan i ka LoiʻOihana a me ke kānāwai Garn-St.Germain e hoʻoemi i nā kānāwai e pili ana i nā kālā a me nā hōʻai'ē. Ua hoʻonuiʻo ia i ka hoʻolālā koa I ka makahiki 1986,ʻokiʻokiʻo ia i kaʻauhau. ʻO ka hoʻonuiʻana i hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ka helu hōʻino i ka 7.7 pakeneka. I ka makahiki 1987, ua hoʻonuiʻia ka helu helu o Black Monday i 10.1 pakeneka.

ʻO George HW Bush (1988-1993). Ua hoʻouna ka S & L Crisis i ka helu poino i ka 12.4 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1990. Ua hoʻokomoʻo Bush i Desert Storm, e lawe ana i ka hōʻailona i lalo i 10.3 pakeneka.

ʻO Bill Clinton (1993-2001). Ua hoʻokumuʻo NAFTA i ka uluʻana, hōʻailonaʻo Clinton i ka Bila Hoʻolālā Balanced , ke Kula e hana ai i ke kānāwai , a me ka hoʻoponopono maikaʻi . Ua hoʻonui kēia mau hana a pau i ka uluʻana o ka hoʻonuiʻana i ka hoʻonuiʻana i ka uluʻana o ka waiwai, me ka hoʻounaʻana i ka helu hōʻino i lalo i 6.0 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1998. Hoʻonuiʻia ka hoʻonuiʻana, hoʻonui i ka hōʻaliʻi i 7.3 pakeneka ma ka hopena o ka makahiki piha hope o Clinton i ke keʻena.

ʻO George W. Bush (2001-2009). ʻO ka makahiki ma mua o Bush i lawe i ka keʻena, ua hōʻikeʻia nā kiʻi kiʻekiʻeʻo NASDAQ . I ka wā i'ōleʻa ai ka'ōhū, ua loaʻaʻo Bush i ke kauʻana. Ua pane akuʻo ia me kaʻoki kālā o kaʻauhau . Ua pane akuʻo ia i ka hōʻeuʻeu 9/11 me ke Kaua ma ke Terror . Ua kaumaha ka hōʻeha i ka hoʻomauʻana, a ua kūkākūkāʻo ia me nāʻoki kālā kālepa JGTRRA 2003 a me ke kānāwai Bankruptcy o ka makahiki 2003. Akāʻo ka Hurricane Katrina hoʻolōʻihi i ka ulu. I ka makahiki 2008, paʻi ka pilikia kālā . Aka, ua mau ka huina kumukuai i ka 7.6 pakeneka ma ka hopena o ka makahiki piha hope o Bush i ka oihana no ka mea, aole i hoomaka ka hana ole i ka pii ana.

Barack Obama (2009-2017). Ua piʻi ka puʻuwai pōʻino i ka 12.6 pakeneka ma ka hopena o 2009, ʻokoʻa ka ARRA a me ka hoʻonuiʻiaʻana o nā pōmaikaʻi hanaʻole . Ua mālama maikaʻiʻia ka hoʻonuiʻana, no laila, ma ka makahiki 2015, ua hāʻule ka index i ka 5.7 pakeneka. Me ka nui o nā helu nui, ua hoʻokuʻu ka poʻe koho pāloka i ka hui hoʻokūkū i ka makahiki 2016 .

ʻO ka Misery Indexʻaʻole ia he kūpono pololei o ke olakino

ʻO ka helu pōʻinoʻaʻole ia he hōʻailona maikaʻi o ke olakino maikaʻi ma muli o ka hanaʻole o kahi hōʻike hōʻailona . Na ka'Āihana e hoʻokau i ka papa kuhikuhi kiʻekiʻe ma hope o ka pauʻana o ke kāʻei.

I loko o nā makahiki muaʻekolu o ke kūpilikiʻi,ʻo ka helu helu ma waena o 3.8-6.6 pakeneka. Ua hoʻolālā ka hoʻolālā i ka 8.5 pakeneka a me ka 6.4 pakeneka. Akā,ʻaʻole i hōʻike ka'ānamu i ka loaʻaʻole o ka hanaʻole he 15.8 pakeneka i ka makahiki 1931.ʻO ia no ka mea ua hōʻinoʻia e ka pale . Ua hiolo nā makahiki i ka paeʻana o ke kālepa o ka honua .

Pēlā nō, ua hoʻomauʻia ka mea i hoʻomauʻia ma luna o 10 pakeneka a hiki i 1942,ʻo nā makahiki ma hope o ka pauʻana o ka Pōʻino. Ua kiʻekiʻe ka nele i ka loaʻaʻole o nā hana i ka wā i hoʻomaka ai nā kumukūʻai e kū i ka paneʻana i ka hoʻonaninani kaua. Akā, ke piʻi nei ka hoʻolālā, e ulu ana i nā helu pālua.

Hōʻike ka moʻolelo o ka manawa hōʻike i ka kiʻekiʻe o ka'onihi pohō ma hope o ka pauʻana o ke kuhiʻana. Eia nā lālā o ka makahiki 1945, 1949, 1957, 1990-1991, 2001 a me ka pilikia o ka makahiki 2008 . Ua hoʻomauʻia ka hua'ōlelo i nā heluʻelua ma o ka hapa nui o nā kuʻina o ka 1970, 1973-1975, a me 1980-1981. Ua hoʻouluʻiaʻo ia e kahiʻano hoʻonui ka mea i kapaʻiaʻo ka hoʻolālā lele

Makahiki Paʻiʻo Misery Ke ulu o GDP Kāleka
1929 3.8% NA Pahū
1930 2.3% -8.5%
1931 6.6% -6.4%
1932 13.3% -12.9%
1933 25.7% -1.3%
1934 23.2% 10.8%
1935 23.1% 8.9%
1936 18.3% 12.9%
1937 17.2% 5.1%
1938 16.2% -3.3%
1939 17.2% 8.0% Pahū
1940 15.3% 8.8%
1941 19.8% 17.7%
1942 13.7% 18.9%
1943 4.9% 17.0%
1944 3.5% 8.0%
1945 4.1% -1.0% Kāleka
1946 22.0% -11.6%
1947 12.7% -1.1%
1948 7.0% 4.1%
1949 4.5% -0.5% Kāleka
1950 10.2% 8.7%
1951 9.1% 8.1%
1952 3.5% 4.1%
1953 5.2% 4.7% Kāleka
1954 4.3% -0.6%
1955 4.6% 7.1%
1956 7.2% 2.1%
1957 8.1% 2.1% Kāleka
1958 8.0% -0.7%
1959 7.0% 6.9%
1960 8.0% 2.6% Kāleka
1961 6.7% 2.6%
1962 6.8% 6.1%
1963 7.1% 4.4%
1964 6.0% 5.8%
1965 5.9% 6.5%
1966 7.3% 6.6%
1967 6.8% 2.7%
1968 8.1% 4.9%
1969 9.7% 3.1%
1970 11.7% 0.2% Kāleka
1971 9.3% 3.3%
1972 8.6% 5.2%
1973 13.6% 5.6% Kāleka
1974 19.5% -0.5% Kāleka
1975 15.1% -0.2% Kāleka
1976 12.7% 5.4%
1977 13.1% 4.6%
1978 15.0% 5.6%
1979 19.3% 3.2%
1980 19.7% -0.2% Kāleka
1981 17.4% 2.6% Kāleka
1982 14.6% -1.9% Kāleka
1983 12.1% 4.6%
1984 11.2% 7.3%
1985 10.8% 4.2%
1986 7.7% 3.5%
1987 10.1% 3.5%
1988 9.7% 4.2%
1989 10.0% 3.7%
1990 12.4% 1.9% Kāleka
1991 10.4% -0.1% Kāleka
1992 10.3% 3.6%
1993 9.2% 2.7%
1994 8.2% 4.0%
1995 8.1% 2.7%
1996 8.7% 3.8%
1997 6.4% 4.5%
1998 6.0% 4.5%
1999 6.7% 4.7%
2000 7.3% 4.1%
2001 7.3% 1.0% Kāleka
2002 8.4% 1.8%
2003 7.6% 2.8%
2004 8.7% 3.8%
2005 8.3% 3.3%
2006 6.9% 2.7%
2007 9.1% 1.8%
2008 7.4% -0.3% Kāleka
2009 12.6% -2.8% Kāleka
2010 10.8% 2.5%
2011 11.5% 1.6%
2012 9.6% 2.2%
2013 8.2% 1.7%
2014 6.4% 2.6%
2015 5.7% 2.9%
2016 6.8% 1.5%
2017 6.2%