Nā Palapala Hōʻalima Pālaʻi Lā Loa

ʻO ke nānāʻana i kahi palapala hōʻailona hōʻalima manawa lōʻihi eʻike wikiwiki i ka hoʻonuiʻana o nā kumukūʻai i ka haʻahaʻa a me ka kiʻekiʻe i nā makahiki he hala. ʻO kahi'atipili palapala maʻa kahi wahi maikaʻi e hoʻomaka ai e noiʻi i nā makai kūʻai. ʻO ka CRB Index, i hoʻomaka i ka makahiki 1957,ʻo ia ka inoa helu waiwai nui loa. Ua loaʻa iā ia he mau inoa kikowaena likeʻole i loko o kona moʻolelo, me ka inoaʻo The Thomson Reuters / Jefferies CRB.

ʻO ka papahana ma kēia manawaʻo nā huahana 19 kēia:ʻO Aluminium, Kaawai, Kapala, Kola, Kohu, Huala, Hina Manu,'Ola,ʻEla Hulu, Nīni Lean, Nalu Live, Gas Gas, Nickel, Waiwai Olive, Kupa, Soybeans, Sugar, Hoʻopiliʻia ka Gas a me ka Whea.

Hiki i nā huahana ke neʻe i nā wā lōʻihi ma kahi o 18 mau makahiki ma ka awelika. Aia kekahi makai bipi ma nā makahiki 1970 no nā kumukūʻai i hoʻomauʻia a hiki i ka hoʻomakaʻana o nā makahiki 1980. He nui ka poʻe e hoʻomanaʻo i kēia i ka wā i kūʻaiʻia ai ke kumukūʻai gula i kahi $ 850 mau'eleka a ua lawe ka Hunt kaikuaʻana i ke kālā i $ 50 he auneke.

Nā Mea Hana'ē aʻe no kaʻimi lōʻihi

ʻOiaiʻo kēlā me kēia waiwai i loaʻa nāʻano pilikino, nā huahana waiwai maʻamau e neʻe like ma keʻano he papa waiwai. No laila, he mea maikaʻi loa ia e nānā i nā huahelu maʻamau helu eʻike i nāʻano. Ma mua o ka hoʻomoʻeʻana i ka kūʻaiʻana i kekahi waiwai kūikawā mau loa e hoʻomaopopo i ka hopena o nā kumukūʻai kūʻai i kahi kū lōʻihi a pōkole paha.

ʻO kaʻoi aku o ka haʻawina haʻawina āu i hana ai,ʻo kaʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o kāu kūlana o ka hopena maikaʻi.

ʻO ka CRB ka papa helu waiwai nui loa, akā, aia kekahi mau mea e noʻonoʻo ana i nā lālā maʻamau i loko o ka papa waiwai. ʻO kahi laʻana,ʻo ka XLE a iʻole Energy Select Sector SPDR he papa helu nui no ka nānāʻana i nā hana kaulike bullish a bearish i ka mālaʻaila o kaʻaila.

Uaʻike pōkoleʻia nā hana maʻamau i nā makai kūʻai kūʻai i nā makahiki i hala iho nei. ʻO ka pōʻai holoʻokoʻa holoʻokoʻa i kūkuluʻia i ka makahiki 2003 a hoʻomauʻia a hiki i ka makahiki 2011/2012. Keʻikeʻia nei ka pauʻana o kaʻawelike makamae i hala i ka makahiki 2016 . He hana nui ka noiʻiʻana i ka wā e loaʻa ai ka kālepa maikaʻi a me ke kālepaʻana i nā mākeke kūʻai.

Loaʻa kahi pilina kūlohelohe ma waena o ka heluʻAmelika a me nā kumukūʻai kūʻai. No laila, ināʻoe e nānā i kahi palapala o ke kālā US, ke hōʻike pinepine neiʻo ia i keʻano kūlike o nā kumukūʻai kūʻai. ʻO ia no ka mea,ʻo ke kālā ke kālā kūʻokoʻa o ke ao a me ka hōʻailona no ka nui o nā kumu waiwai. Ke hoʻololiʻia ka waiwai o ke kālā i nā mea mahalo,ʻo nā huahana keʻano o ka neʻeʻana i lalo a me ka hakahaka. I ka hōʻiliʻiliʻana i nā hāʻina waiwai, hiki i ka loli o ke kālā ke haʻi nui iāʻoe e pili ana i ke ala e hiki mai ana o nā kumukūʻai kūʻai.

Hoʻonuiʻia ka nui o nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe e lilo ana i nā hana a me nā uku kūpono e lilo ana i mea kūʻai

He kūlana nui hoʻi nā kumumalima i nā ala o ke kū'ēʻole no nā kumukūʻai o nā kumukūʻai. Piʻi ka nui o ka huina kālā i ka uku no ka laweʻana i nā papahana, no laila lākou e lilo i mea kumu bearish. ʻO nā haʻawina hoʻolālā haʻahaʻa wale nō ma kaʻaoʻao'ē aʻe a lilo i mea nui loa.

I ka wā i neʻe ai ka uku hoʻopaneʻe maʻEulopa a me Iapana i ka'āina māina i ka makahiki 2016, ua ukuʻia nā kumukūʻai o nā waiwai he nui mai nā loka maha. ʻO ka nānāʻana i nā uku pālākilo he ala maikaʻi ia e hōʻemi i ka nui o nā kumukūʻai kūʻai.

ʻO kekahi ala'ē aʻe e nānā ai i nā hōʻailona palekana a iʻole ka bearish ma nāʻano kumukūʻai o ka nānāʻana i nā kālā o nā lāhui e pili ana i nā waiwai no ke kālā. ʻO ka nui o ka waiwai e hoʻokomoʻia nā lāhui e like me'Asalia, Brazil , Kanada, a me Rusia hoʻi e holo wikiwiki me nā kumukūʻai kūʻai.

Hiki i nā lālā maʻamau i nā huahana ke hāʻawi i kahi hōʻike wikiwiki o ke kūlana o nā manawa lōʻihi, akā,ʻo ke kālā, nā uku ukupanei, a me nā kālā e kūʻaiʻia he manawa pono nā mea e nānā i ka wā e ho'āʻo ana e hoʻokumu i nā loina maʻamau o ka waiwai papa.

ʻO ka makamua o kaʻoihana bipi ma nā mea i hoʻomakaʻia i ka makahiki 1999 a hoʻomakaʻia i kēia manawa i ka 2008 aʻo ka nui o nā waiwai iʻikeʻia.

Hoʻonuiʻia nā huahana e like me ke kālā hoʻoili waiwai a nui i hanaʻia nā ETF . ʻO kēia makai bipi he meaʻokoʻa loa ia ma ka mahele o nā kaukani he 1970 e hoʻomanaʻo ana i ka nui o ka hoʻolālā haʻahaʻa.

Ua ulu pinepineʻia kaʻoihana o nā bipi i ka hoʻonuiʻia o ka noi mai ka hoʻonuiʻana i nāʻoihana waiwai ma Kina, India, a meʻAmelika Hema. Hiki ke loaʻa i nā ThomsonReuters.com hou nāʻimi noiʻi hou a me nā palapala hoʻohālikelike hōʻemi manawa lōʻihi. Loaʻa lākou i nāʻike hou e pili ana i ka heluʻana, ka moʻaukala a me ka paʻiʻana o ka hōʻailona waiwai.