Nā Kūlana Kū'ē Loaʻole me nā Hōʻai

Ke Kūkākūkā nei ke Aupuni e pili ana i kaʻOihanaʻole?

ʻO kaʻilima hanaʻole (U-6) he ho'ākākaʻoi aku kaʻoi aku o ka hanaʻole ma mua o ka palena hana hanaʻole (U-3). Ma Malaki 2018, ua piʻi i ka 8.0 pakeneka.

ʻO ka U-3 ka helu i hōʻike pinepineʻia ma ka pāpāho. Ma ka loli U-3, helu wale ka Bureau of Labor Statistics i nā kānaka me ka hanaʻole i ka hana i ka poʻe hana . No ka nohoʻana i ka pūʻulu hana, uaʻimi lākou i kahi hana i nā pule heʻehā i hala.

ʻO ka U-6, aʻo ka liʻiliʻi maoliʻole, e komo pū me nā mea i hoʻopaʻaʻoleʻia , nā mea pili , a me mea hanaʻeha. No kēlā kumu, ua aneane pālua ka pūʻulu U-3.

He poʻe hana manawaleʻa nā poʻe Undertmployed i makemake lākou i ka manawa lōʻihi. Ke helu nei ka BLS iā lākou e like me ka hana a me ka poʻe hana.

ʻO ka mea pili i ka poʻe iʻimi i ka hana i ka makahiki i hala,ʻaʻole i nā pule heʻehā i hala. ʻAʻole lākou i komo i loko o ka nui o ka poʻe komo lima .

Ma waena o nā mea e pili pū ana,ʻo ka poʻe hana hoʻonāwaliwali . Ua haʻalele lākou i kaʻimi 'ana i ka hana. Ua hiki iā lākou ke hoʻi i ke kula, ua hāpai, a ua hemo paha. Hiki paha a 'aʻole paha lākou e hoʻi i ka limahana, e like me ko lākou kūlana. I ka manawaʻaʻole lākou iʻimi i kahi hana i loko o 12 mau mahina,ʻaʻole lākou i helu houʻia e like me keʻano pilikino.

Hoʻopiʻi ka BLS iā U-3 a me ka U-6 ma ka hōʻike o nā hana o kēlā me kēia mahina. Ma keʻano kānalua,ʻaʻole i like ka nui o ka nānāʻana i ka'onikala i ka lakeneka hanaʻole.

Akā,ʻo ka luna hoʻomalu o Federal Reserve muaʻo Ianet Yellen i'ōlelo ia e kahakaha ana i keʻano o ka hanaʻole o ka US.

ʻO ka palapala kūlana kūponoʻole ma ka hoʻohanaʻana i nāʻikepili o kēia wā

Ma Malaki 2018,ʻo kaʻilikai hanaʻole (U-6) he 8.0 pakeneka. Ua aneane pālua ka hōʻiliʻili o ka poʻe hanaʻole (U-3) o ka 4.1 pakeneka.

Eia keʻano e hoʻolālā ai i nā meaʻelua.

Ka Papa 1. E helu i ka palena hana hanaʻole (U-3).

U-3 = 6.585 miliona mau hana hana / 161.763 miliona ma ka waihona hana = 4.1 pakeneka.

Ka Papa 2. E hoʻohui i nā mea hana lima. Aia 1,454 miliona kānaka i pili kokoke i ka poʻe hana. Hoʻohui i kēia i ka helu o ka poʻe hanaʻole a me ka poʻe hana.

U-5 = (6.585 miliona + 1.454 miliona) / (161.763 miliona + 1.454 miliona) = 8,039 miliona / 163.217 miliona = 4.9 pakeneka.

Mahele 3. Hoʻokomo i loko o nā limahana manawa manawa. He 5.019 miliona mau kānaka e hana nei i ka manawa lōʻihi akā makemake lākou i ka manawa lōʻihi. E hoʻonui iā lākou i ka poʻe hanaʻole me nā limahana lima. Aia lākou i loko o ka pūʻulu hana.

U-6 = (8,039 miliona + 5.019 miliona) / (163.217 miliona) = 13.058 miliona / 163.217 miliona = 8.1 pakeneka. (Source: "Papa A-15," ka Lime o ka Lime Helu Lāhui.)

E hoʻohālikelike i ka Nānā Loaʻa Loaʻole

No ka hoʻonohonohoʻana i nā mea ma keʻano, eia ke kaʻina hana hanaʻole e like me kaʻoiaʻiʻo maoli mai ka makahiki 1994.ʻO ia ka makahiki mua i hōʻiliʻiliʻia kaʻikepili BLS ma U-6. ʻO nā uku i hāʻawiʻia no Ianuali o kēlā me kēia makahiki. No kaʻikeʻana i ka nele i ka hana mai ka makahiki 1929, e hele i ka Nānā Loa Loa ma ka Makahiki .

Ma nā makahiki holoʻokoʻa, he liʻiliʻi ka pāʻaniʻoihana ma mua o ka hapa o ka nui maoli.

He pololei kēia mau mea no ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻokele waiwai. I ka makahiki 2000, i ka manawa o ka palena maʻamau i lalo o ka hoʻolālā hanaʻole o 4.5 pakeneka,ʻo ka heluna maoli e aneane pālua, ma 7.1 pakeneka. I ka makahiki 2010, i ka nui loa o ka lakio hanaʻole ma ka 9.8 pakeneka, ua aneane pālua kaʻilikai maoli, ma 16.7 pakeneka.

Makahiki (ʻo Ianuali) U3 (Lunaʻike) U6 (Real) U3 / U6 Nā pane
1994 6.6% 11.8% 56% ʻO ka makahiki muaʻo BLS i hōʻike iā U6
1995 5.6% 10.2% 55%
1996 5.6% 9.8% 57%
1997 5.3% 9.4% 56%
1998 4.6% 8.4% 55%
1999 4.3% 7.7% 56%
2000 4.0% (Kikokikona palapala) 7.1% 56% Māleʻaleʻa nā makai i Malaki
2001 4.2% 7.3% 58%
2002 5.7% 9.5% 60% U3 kokoke aku i U6
2003 5.8% 10.0% 58%
2004 5.7% 9.9% 58%
2005 5.3% 9.3% 57%
2006 4.7% 8.4% 56%
2007 4.6% 8.4% 55%
2008 5.0% 9.2% 54%
2009 7.8% 14.2% 55% Ke kiʻekiʻe o 10.2% maʻOkakopa
2010 9.8% 16.7% 59%
2011 9.1% 16.2% 56%
2012 8.3% 15.2% 55%
2013 8.0% 14.5% 55%
2014 6.6% 12.7% 52%
2015 5.7% 11.3% 50%
2016 4.9% 9.9% 49% Hoi pū lāua aʻelua i nā kauwae mua
2017 4.8% 9.4% 51%
2018 4.4% 8.2% 50%

ʻO ke kumu o ka hōʻoiaʻana e hoʻohālikelike i nā'ōkuhi i ka'ōlaʻa. Ināʻoe e'ōlelo ana ke moe nei ke aupuni i ka wā e hoʻokaeʻia ai, a laila, ponoʻoe e hoʻopaʻa i ka hakakā hoʻokahi inā he maikaʻi nā manawa. (Source: "Ka Papa A-1. NānāʻIke Noʻeau," Office of Labor Statistics.)

ʻAʻole i hewa kaʻOihana Loahewa Loaʻole i ka wā o ka Pōʻino

ʻO ka lōʻihi hanaʻole i ka wā o ka Great Depression he 25 pakeneka. Ua hoʻonuiʻia ka nui o nā huina hanaʻole i kēlā manawa, akā naʻe, like paha me ka mea maoli i kēia lā. Ua hiki anei i ka lakio hana maoli maoli ma ka Great Decession i kēlā pae? ʻOiai nā'ōlelo a nā poʻe he nui, he hōʻike maʻalahiʻole kēiaʻaʻole heʻoiaʻiʻo.

I ka malamaʻoʻOkakopa 2009, ua piʻi ka lakio hanaʻole (U-3) i ke kiʻekiʻe o 10.2 pakeneka. He 15.7 miliona mau hanaʻole ma waena o 153.98 miliona ma ka poʻe hana. E hoʻonui i ka 2.4 miliona e pili ana, e like me 808,000 mau hana kuhiluʻi, a loaʻa iāʻoe kahi o ka U-5 o 11.6 pakeneka. A laila hoʻohui i ka 9.3 miliona manawa manawahana i makemake i ka manawa piha, a loaʻa iāʻoe ka mahele U-6 o 17.5 pakeneka. Hāʻawiʻia ka manaʻo maikaʻi o ka hanaʻole o 2009.

No laila, inā hōʻoiʻoe i ka ho'ākāka o ka nele i ka hana e komo i loko o nā lima hana lima a me nā manawa manawa lōʻihi,ʻaʻohe hewa loa i ka wā o ka Great Depression . Akā,ʻo ka loaʻaʻole o ka hana iʻole ia kiʻekiʻe ma waena o ka Depression piha loa, i hala mau no 10 mau makahiki . Inā makemakeʻoe e hoʻopiʻi i ka hihia, hiki iāʻoe ke'ōlelo i ka loaʻaʻole o ka hanaʻole ma ke kiʻekiʻe o ka Great Decession i ka nui loa o ka nele i ka hana ma nā hapa o ka Paha nui .