Ponoʻoe eʻike ia mea
ʻO Ianuali 15th, 2015 kekahi lā e iho i lalo i ka moʻolelo FX maʻamau e like me ka lā o ka hōʻino. Ua pale aku ka Swiss Bank Bank i ka'ōlelo a ka Haku i hāʻawi ai i ka mākeke i ka lā 6 o Sepatemaba, 2011. Ua hōʻikeʻia kēia'ōlelo hoʻohiki a ua hōʻoia houʻia ma ka lā 12 o Ianuali, 2015 e kōkua ka Swiss Bank Bank a SNB paha i ka hoʻoikaikaʻana o ka Franc Swiss a CHF paha. ʻaʻole eʻae ana i ka CFH e hoʻonāwaliwali i ka Euro a hiki i kahi kiʻekiʻe ma lalo o 1.20.
Ma ke kakahiaka nui i Ianuali 15, 2015, ua puka mai ka SNB me ka'ōlelo ma hope o ko lākou pūnaewele e hōʻike ana e hoʻokuʻu ana i kā lākou 3.25 mau makahiki:
"Ke kuhi nui nei kaʻike o ka Swiss franc, he weliweli nui ia i ka hoʻokele waiwai o Swiss aʻo ia ke kumu o ka uluʻana i ka palekana.
* I ka lae o ka Central Bank Promise
Ua lilo ka hihia i kēia kakahiaka i ka wā i pale ai ka SNB i ka kui aʻokiʻoki i nā kumu e hoʻonui ai i ka CHF franc, he halepule kaulana o Swiss e hoʻoikaika ana i nā manawa o ka hōʻoia waiwai, e hele i kahi mau mea iʻike muaʻoleʻia. Hiki paha iāʻoe ke noʻonoʻo i ke kumu o kēiaʻano nui a me ka nui o nā mea i loaʻa i ka hāwaeʻole i kēia neʻeʻana. ʻIke nei,ʻaʻoleʻoe e nānā i kahi mamao loa. ʻOiai i ka lā Pōʻakahi, ua loaʻa kēia'ōlelo mai kahi luna kiʻekiʻe o ka SNB:
"Loaʻa mākou i ke kūlana i kahi mahina i hala aku nei (ʻo ia ka malamaʻo Dekemaba 2014), ua nānā hou mākou i nā mea a pau, a ua maopopo mākou he mea pono ke kauʻana i ka kumukūʻai o ke kumukūʻai o kā mākou kulekele pili kālā." I 3 mau lā ma hope mai, ua hukiʻia ka uku kuhi kaulike, a ua hoʻokuʻuʻia ka EURCHF mai 1.20 a hiki i kahi alaiʻi haʻahaʻa o 0.85, he 41% ka emi loa.
ʻO ka FXCM, he mea kālepa kālepa kālepa kaulana, uaʻikeʻia kahi mea iʻikeʻia e like me ka Speculative Sentiment Index, i hōʻike aku i ko lākou poʻe kūʻai mākou i kūʻai aku i ka Franc Swiss a ke kūʻai nei lākou i ka EURCHF i ka lakene o 67.3: 1 ma mua o ka hoʻolahaʻana. Me ka manaʻo ua hoʻokahe ka poʻe i 41% ma hope o ka hoʻolahaʻana, a ua nui nā mea i kūʻaiʻia ma ko lākou kūlana, nā poho nui no ka poʻe kūʻai, a ua hiki aku paha ka mea hoʻopili.
Ka Move
I kēia lā, uaʻike mākou heʻoi aku ka ikaika o nā kālepa a me ko lākou mau pūʻali koa ma mua o kēlā me kēia kumukūʻai waena me ke Swiss Bank Bank. No ka maikaʻi, ua hoʻoholoʻia nā kumukūʻai o ke kikowaena nui ma waena o nā makahiki like me ka Thai Thai Baht i USD i ka makahiki 1997 . ʻOiai kaʻoi aku o nāʻoihana kikowaena i ke kālaiʻana i nā kālepa i loko o ke kaʻina pōkole, ma kēia hihia, ua kūʻaiʻia ka EURCHF 1.20 peg noʻekolu mau makahiki a he nui ka uku a me ka hopena, ua nui loa ka lilo e hiki ai ke hoʻomau ka EUR i ka hāʻule. QE hiki.
ʻO nā lepili
E like me ka nui o nā mea e hōʻeuʻeu ai i ka mākeke, hiki i ka hopena kūpono ke lawe i kekahi manawa e huahua. I loko o 24 mau hola o ka hoʻolaha SNB, he mau hale kūʻai liʻiliʻi kekahi o nā milike liʻiliʻi, a aia kekahi mau'ōlelo e pono ai i kekahi mau hale pāpale e pani i nā puka no nā lilo i hikiʻole ke loaʻa no ka mea uaʻike lākou he paʻa ka EURCHF 1.2000 papa a no laila ua lōʻihi lōʻihi iloko o ka EURCHF, i emi iho i 41% i kēia lā.
Ma nāʻaoʻao'ē aʻe, ua maopopo nā haʻawina kaʻawale no nā mea kālepa like meʻoe a me aʻu:
- He mea pilikia ka leverage.
- Hoʻopau i nā hapa hope wale nō, akā,ʻaʻole kā lākou kālā e hōʻoia.
- Ma ke ao o nāʻumeke,ʻaʻohe mea e like me ka mea paʻa,ʻoiai inā he kikowaena waena ia.
Aloha maikaʻi!